trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 41¢ | 40¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $41 | +$46 | +114% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$4 | +42% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$8 | +77% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | SELL Yes | 100¢ | $87 | 1h |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | BUY Yes | 41¢ | $20 | 7h |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | BUY Yes | 2¢ | $5 | 7h |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | SELL Yes | 99¢ | $14 | 7h |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 69¢ | $10 | 7h |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | SELL Yes | 26¢ | $18 | 7h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 46¢ | $41 | 7h |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 14¢ | $10 | 7h |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +77.6% | +60.7% | 100% | 100% | +77.0% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +77.6% | +60.7% | 100% | 100% | +77.0% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +77.6% | +60.7% | 100% | 100% | +77.0% |
| all | 3 | +77.6% | +60.7% | 100% | 100% | +77.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +60.7% | 100% | +77.0% |
| 10% | +45.3% | 100% | +60.1% |
| 15% | +31.3% | 100% | +44.6% |
| 20% | +18.4% | 67% | +30.4% |