Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:30:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc017…9ac9
other · 5 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$58 +67%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$58 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Net worth$25
Realized+$58
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses3 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit20%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$58
7 days+$58
14 days+$58
30 days+$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 41¢ 40¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $41 +$46 +114%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 +$8 +77%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 88% +$54
sports 12% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+60.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +77.6% +60.7% 100% 100% +77.0%
≤30d 3 +77.6% +60.7% 100% 100% +77.0%
≤90d 3 +77.6% +60.7% 100% 100% +77.0%
all 3 +77.6% +60.7% 100% 100% +77.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +60.7% 100% +77.0%
10% +45.3% 100% +60.1%
15% +31.3% 100% +44.6%
20% +18.4% 67% +30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.97 · official $24.97 (match) · 8 history records