Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:13:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc02b…13d1
sports · 105 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$56 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$57 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$57
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses57 / 41
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions7
Markets (closed)98 / 105
History coverage3d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day116.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 7 History 98 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$64
7 days−$57
14 days−$57
30 days−$57
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ 42¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Under 93¢ 92¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 43¢ 94¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+120%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 69¢ 72¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 48¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 76¢ 78¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 95¢ 82¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 −$1 -16%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $25 −$9 -35%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $29 $0 -1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 +$1 +28%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 +$2 +112%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $11 +$2 +17%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $7 +$4 +56%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 +$4 +40%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $3 −$1 -49%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $2 +$1 +74%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $3 +$2 +58%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $1 +$1 +103%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $3 +$3 +99%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $3 −$2 -62%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +21%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 12 $2 +$3 +112%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $34 −$9 -25%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -56%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +22%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $7 $0 -0%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +28%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $6 +$1 +12%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $2 +$1 +44%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $6 +$1 +15%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $4 $0 +12%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Joao Lucas Da Silva Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% −$41
other 27% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 76¢ $1 7m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 8m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $2 10m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $1 10m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $1 10m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $1 10m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 69¢ $2 22m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 95¢ $1 32m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 95¢ $2 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 43¢ $1 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $3 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 96¢ $2 4h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 97¢ $1 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 92¢ $2 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 91¢ $2 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 91¢ $1 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 90¢ $1 4h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 86¢ $1 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 90¢ $1 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 90¢ $3 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 90¢ $1 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 85¢ $1 4h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 79¢ $1 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 83¢ $2 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 73¢ $1 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $1 4h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 91¢ $1 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 94¢ $1 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $2 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 31¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 -12.9% -21.2% 58% 45% -21.0%
≤30d 98 -12.9% -21.2% 58% 45% -21.0%
≤90d 98 -12.9% -21.2% 58% 45% -21.0%
all 98 -12.9% -21.2% 58% 45% -21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover116.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.2% 45% -21.0%
10% ← realistic here -28.8% 29% -28.6%
15% -35.6% 18% -35.5%
20% -41.9% 12% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.86 · official $15.86 (match) · 403 history records