Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T01:20:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
C0 0xc042…2224 crypto 4 markets active 1h ago coverage 9d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge
Total PnL +$193 (+51%) realized +$193 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +76% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +60% what you keep after slip
Net edge+60%after slip
Net WR100%break-even
Win rate100%4W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$95per market
Trades / day0.7pace
Kalshi-fit50%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 9d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 74% +$187
crypto 26% +$70
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+59.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +67.5% +51.6% 100% 100% +49.3%
≤30d 4 +76.4% +59.6% 100% 100% +51.8%
≤90d 4 +76.4% +59.6% 100% 100% +51.8%
all 4 +76.4% +59.6% 100% 100% +51.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +59.6% 100% +51.8%
10% +44.3% 100% +37.3%
15% +30.4% 100% +24.0%
20% +17.6% 75% +11.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 62% · top 2 81% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +68% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +76% · $-wt +68% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$64 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$193
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses4 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage9d
Avg bet$95
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit50%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 4 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7PM ET Jun 27 $50 +$19 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 7PM ET Jun 27 $50 +$51 +102%
Will France win on 2026-06-26? Jun 26 $250 +$158 +63%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $28 +$29 +103%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $69 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 7PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $101 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 7PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $50 1h
Will France win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 60¢ $250 11h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 48¢ $28 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 8 history records