Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:08:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc04a…d16c
crypto · 286 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$36 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$19
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses110 / 171
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)281 / 286
History coverage5d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day101.6
Drawdown66%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 281 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$19
14 days+$19
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Up 48¢ 88¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+83%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Up 54¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Up 53¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-14%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Down 49¢ 3¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-94%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Down 50¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-95%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +112%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +102%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +112%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 14, 7AM ET? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +149%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +261%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +149%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $2 +$1 +34%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$3 +83%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 13, 4PM ET? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$7 +688%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +84%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +248%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +74%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$3
sports 8% +$16
weather 0% −$1
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 14, 7AM ET? BUY No 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 281 +2.5% -7.3% 39% 37% -4.4%
≤30d 281 +2.5% -7.3% 39% 37% -4.4%
≤90d 281 +2.5% -7.3% 39% 37% -4.4%
all 281 +2.5% -7.3% 39% 37% -4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover101.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 37% -4.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 37% -13.5%
15% -24.3% 35% -21.9%
20% -31.7% 30% -29.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.70 · official $3.70 (match) · 603 history records