Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:02:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc04f…db36
crypto · 130 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$31 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$56 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47
Realized+$56
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses70 / 52
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)122 / 130
History coverage63d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 8 History 122 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$55
7 days+$78
14 days+$78
30 days+$78
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $10 $20 +$10 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $8 $12 +$5 (+58%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 52¢ 32¢ $8 $5 −$3 (-37%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 53¢ 38¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 46¢ 57¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+25%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Up 46¢ 52¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Down 47¢ 6¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-86%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-16.5) Thunder 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +82%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$7 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$6 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$3 -23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$7 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$12 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$10 -54%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +88%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$25 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$13 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$3 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Chanta vs. Hontama: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$33
sports 1% −$2
other 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-0.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 +16.3% +5.2% 63% 51% +3.1%
≤30d 81 +16.3% +5.2% 63% 51% +3.1%
≤90d 122 +10.2% -0.3% 57% 41% -2.5%
all 122 +10.2% -0.3% 57% 41% -2.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -0.3% 41% -2.5%
10% -9.8% 34% -11.8%
15% -18.5% 30% -20.3%
20% -26.5% 26% -28.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46.72 · official $49.92 · 523 history records