Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T19:29:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc052…b51a crypto 2150 markets active 1h ago coverage 26d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 26d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (82 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$927 (+7%) realized +$927 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR61%break-even
Win rate62%1350W / 836L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day81.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$7now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 26d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (82 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 275 -59.3% -63.2% 30% 29% -73.8%
≤30d 2186 -4.5% -13.6% 62% 61% -19.3%
≤90d 2186 -4.5% -13.6% 62% 61% -19.3%
all 2186 -4.5% -13.6% 62% 61% -19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover81.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 61% -19.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 49% -27.1%
15% -29.4% 38% -34.1%
20% -36.4% 28% -40.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$7 · ×0.46 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.74 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$7
Realized+$927
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses1350 / 836
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2186 / 2150
History coverage26d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day81.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2186 Trades
no open positions (499 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $6 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.17 · official $6.28 (match) · 3500 history records