trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +21.7% | +10.1% | 86% | 86% | -1.7% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +24.9% | +13.0% | 88% | 88% | +16.1% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +11.0% | +0.4% | 78% | 78% | -13.1% |
| all | 18 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 83% | 44% | -19.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.0% | 44% | -19.0% |
| 10% | -15.0% | 44% | -26.7% |
| 15% | -23.2% | 28% | -33.8% |
| 20% | -30.7% | 11% | -40.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $150 | $101 | −$49 (-33%) |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 81¢ | 95¢ | $50 | $59 | +$9 (+18%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | No | 89¢ | 96¢ | $50 | $54 | +$4 (+8%) |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 37¢ | 33¢ | $49 | $44 | −$5 (-9%) |
| Will Memphis Depay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 65¢ | 29¢ | $32 | $14 | −$17 (-55%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $151 | +$49 | +32% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $31 | +$8 | +26% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $27 | +$12 | +46% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $20 | +$11 | +52% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $40 | +$9 | +23% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 21 | $91 | −$91 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$37 | +73% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $430 | +$202 | +47% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | Apr 07 | $282 | −$282 | -100% |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | Feb 23 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Volt be part of the next Government of the Netherlands? | Feb 23 | $400 | +$17 | +4% |
| Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026? | Feb 05 | $300 | −$287 | -96% |
| US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | Jan 03 | $280 | +$3 | +1% |
| Maduro out in 2025? | Jan 03 | $69 | +$5 | +8% |
| Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by December 31, 2025 | Jan 03 | $197 | +$8 | +4% |
| Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Dec 30 | $22 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66? | Dec 12 | $49 | +$20 | +40% |
| Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66? | Dec 09 | $150 | +$7 | +4% |