Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:43:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc063…b475
world · 30 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses8 / 21
Open positions1
Markets (closed)29 / 30
History coverage285d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 1 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 14 $15 $0 -3%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 14 $13 $0 +0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 14 $46 $0 +0%
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Jun 13 $1 $0 -5%
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? Jun 12 $31 $0 +0%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $9 +$6 +62%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 10 $21 −$5 -23%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 10 $51 $0 +0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US? Dec 17 $39 $0 +0%
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30? Oct 01 $35 $0 -1%
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? Sep 21 $28 $0 +0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary? Sep 19 $29 $0 +0%
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? Sep 19 $2 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Sep 19 $3 $0 +0%
Skye Valadez confirmed perp? Sep 18 $33 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September? Sep 18 $31 $0 +1%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? Sep 17 $33 +$1 +2%
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? Sep 17 $1 $0 +0%
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025? Sep 16 $31 $0 -0%
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Sep 16 $32 $0 +0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? Sep 15 $33 $0 +1%
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? Sep 15 $33 $0 +0%
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025? Sep 14 $33 $0 +0%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15? Sep 14 $2 −$1 -53%
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals? Sep 14 $32 $0 +0%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30? Sep 13 $31 $0 +0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Sep 09 $1 $0 +0%
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31? Sep 08 $34 $0 +0%
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Sep 02 $33 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 27% +$1
world 26% −$1
politics 18% $0
tech 10% $0
sports 9% $0
crypto 9% $0
economics 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL Yes 32¢ $15 11m
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY Yes 33¢ $12 1h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY Yes 33¢ $3 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 18¢ $8 5h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 18¢ $4 5h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 18¢ $13 7h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $46 11h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $46 14h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 23h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 25h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $31 46h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $31 2d
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $12 2d
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $3 2d
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 10¢ $8 2d
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 2d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $2 3d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 3d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 3d
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 10¢ $9 3d
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 10¢ $5 3d
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 10¢ $2 3d
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 13¢ $21 3d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $51 4d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $51 4d
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US? SELL No 100¢ $3 179d
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 99¢ $28 266d
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US? SELL No 96¢ $3 268d
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 99¢ $28 268d
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary? SELL No 99¢ $29 268d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +3.9% -6.0% 38% 12% -9.4%
≤30d 8 +3.9% -6.0% 38% 12% -9.4%
≤90d 8 +3.9% -6.0% 38% 12% -9.4%
all 29 -0.7% -10.1% 28% 3% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 3% -9.5%
10% -18.7% 3% -18.2%
15% -26.6% 3% -26.1%
20% -33.8% 3% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $0.00 (match) · 136 history records