Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:11:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc076…d987 sports 429 markets active 17h ago coverage 26d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d only
✗ bot/MM pace (131 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$3,118 (-10%) realized −$3,118 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate64%275W / 153L
Whale WR83%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$75per market
Trades / day130.7pace
Fees−$277est.
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$573
14 days−$681
30 days−$1,187
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 89% −$949
other 8% −$139
crypto 2% −$79
weather 0% −$6
world 0% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (131 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 89 -5.5% -14.5% 57% 33% -24.6%
≤30d 428 -6.0% -14.9% 64% 28% -12.9%
≤90d 428 -6.0% -14.9% 64% 28% -12.9%
all 428 -6.0% -14.9% 64% 28% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover130.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 28% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 18% -21.2%
15% -30.5% 13% -28.8%
20% -37.3% 9% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
56% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 83% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -7% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$23 · ×0.37 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,118
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses275 / 153
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Est. fees paid−$277
Open positions0
Markets (closed)428 / 429
History coverage26d ⚠
Avg bet$75
Trades / day130.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 428 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 19 $4 +$2 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$4 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $6 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$5 -54%
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 18 $27 −$23 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$5 +108%
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 2 Colombia? Jun 18 $7 −$5 -72%
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 Jun 18 $109 −$32 -30%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $97 +$3 +4%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 17 $34 −$19 -56%
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Jun 17 $142 −$22 -16%
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? Jun 17 $36 −$31 -85%
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $82 −$20 -24%
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Fery Jun 17 $161 +$23 +14%
Halle Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Daniel Altmaier Jun 17 $94 +$6 +6%
Nottingham Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Emma Navarro Jun 17 $6 −$3 -51%
Parma: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Stefano Travaglia Jun 17 $58 +$4 +6%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Nigeria vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi Jun 17 $105 +$15 +14%
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $45 −$29 -65%
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? Jun 17 $70 +$6 +8%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $14 +$10 +72%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $3 +$2 +72%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $192 −$129 -67%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 Jun 17 $59 +$66 +111%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $78 +$9 +11%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 Jun 16 $64 +$4 +7%
ITF Tauste: Raquel Gonzalez Vilar vs Vaishnavi Adkar Jun 16 $7 −$2 -28%
Royan: Leo Raquillet vs Manoj Dhamne Manas Jun 16 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $175 +$18 +10%
Royan: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Felix Balshaw Jun 16 $35 +$1 +4%
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Senegal? Jun 16 $162 $0 +0%
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal? Jun 16 $38 $0 -0%
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Jun 16 $50 +$4 +7%
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 16 $210 +$8 +4%
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron Jun 16 $22 +$3 +14%
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Cabo Verde? Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Nottingham Open: Maya Joint vs Yulia Starodubtseva Jun 15 $64 −$39 -61%
Halle Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Altmaier Jun 15 $15 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records