trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +32.9% | +20.3% | 75% | 62% | -5.9% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +32.9% | +20.3% | 75% | 62% | -5.9% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +9.5% | -1.0% | 67% | 53% | -19.1% |
| all | 22 | +2.9% | -6.9% | 64% | 50% | -15.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.9% | 50% | -15.0% |
| 10% | -15.8% | 32% | -23.1% |
| 15% | -23.9% | 23% | -30.5% |
| 20% | -31.4% | 18% | -37.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $26 | +$35 | +138% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$11 | +108% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $76 | −$76 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $20 | +$32 | +157% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $18 | +$8 | +42% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 11 | $16 | +$2 | +14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C or higher on April 2 | Apr 22 | $5 | −$3 | -51% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | Apr 18 | $43 | −$40 | -93% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | Apr 07 | $36 | +$8 | +22% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Apr 01 | $31 | +$6 | +18% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Mar 31 | $24 | +$7 | +31% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Mar 29 | $23 | +$2 | +7% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Mar 23 | $50 | −$28 | -55% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | Mar 07 | $70 | −$19 | -28% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? | Mar 02 | $69 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | Feb 28 | $61 | +$11 | +18% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Feb 21 | $48 | +$11 | +23% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | Feb 17 | $2 | −$1 | -69% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me | Feb 07 | $1 | +$1 | +75% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | Feb 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |