Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T22:16:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc07d…c0da crypto 1738 markets active 0h ago coverage 41d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Total PnL −$694 (-8%) realized −$260 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR75%break-even
Win rate76%1313W / 425L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day43.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days−$29
14 days−$80
30 days−$217
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$260
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 393 -1.8% -11.1% 76% 76% -10.9%
≤30d 1631 -2.5% -11.8% 76% 75% -12.0%
≤90d 1738 -2.8% -12.0% 76% 75% -12.3%
all 1738 -2.8% -12.0% 76% 75% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover43.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 75% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 43% -20.7%
15% -28.1% 16% -28.3%
20% -35.2% 5% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.28 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$260
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1313 / 425
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1738 / 1738
History coverage41d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day43.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1738 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records