Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:15:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
C0 0xc09b…f1ee sports 63 markets active 22h ago coverage 12d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$17 (+1%) realized +$17 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate47%22W / 25L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day5.8pace
Fees−$14est.
Kalshi-fit75%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days+$11
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 58% +$144
other 33% −$127
crypto 7% +$11
world 1% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -9.0% -17.6% 46% 46% -8.6%
≤30d 47 -8.1% -16.8% 47% 45% -9.0%
≤90d 47 -8.1% -16.8% 47% 45% -9.0%
all 47 -8.1% -16.8% 47% 45% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.8% 45% -9.0%
10% -24.8% 43% -17.7%
15% -32.0% 43% -25.7%
20% -38.7% 36% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 30% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +13% → late -28% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$26 vs −$23 · ×1.15 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses22 / 25
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)47 / 63
History coverage12d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day5.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 47 Trades
no open positions (22 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 20 $51 +$40 +79%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 20 $51 +$42 +83%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $51 +$37 +73%
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Jun 19 $51 +$31 +62%
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 Jun 19 $51 −$50 -99%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? Jun 19 $51 −$50 -98%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 Jun 19 $20 +$14 +70%
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? Jun 19 $41 −$40 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 19 $51 +$45 +90%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 18 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 18 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $51 −$50 -99%
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) Jun 18 $20 +$23 +114%
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $20 −$20 -98%
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? Jun 17 $20 −$20 -98%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 17 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $50 +$19 +38%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $50 +$22 +44%
Spread: Norway (-1.5) Jun 17 $51 +$33 +65%
Spread: France (-1.5) Jun 16 $51 −$50 -99%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $20 −$20 -99%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $20 −$20 -99%
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Jun 15 $20 −$20 -99%
Spread: Sweden (-1.5) Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $20 +$25 +123%
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Jun 15 $51 +$127 +250%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 14 $25 +$24 +93%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $20 +$11 +54%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $10 +$28 +276%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $20 +$15 +73%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $7 +$3 +44%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $6 +$4 +76%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $4 +$6 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 08 $106 +$11 +10%
Will Greece vs. Italy end in a draw? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Morocco vs. Norway end in a draw? Jun 07 $3 +$7 +250%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 55¢ $51 22h
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 AND Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY 15¢ $31 22h
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Brazil (-2.5) AND Tür BUY 3¢ $5 22h
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 AND Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY 9¢ $21 22h
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 51¢ $51 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 61¢ $51 22h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 48¢ $51 22h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 57¢ $51 22h
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Brazil 54¢ $51 22h
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Brazil (-2.5) AND Wil BUY 8¢ $5 23h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $20 34h
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 34h
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Korea Republic? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 34h
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $31 43h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Canada 52¢ $51 43h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 64¢ $20 43h
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 43h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 53¢ $51 43h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) AND Spread: Czechia (-1.5) AND Will Mexico vs. K BUY 2¢ $5 43h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 AND Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 AN BUY 6¢ $5 2d
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) AND Spread: Colombia (-1.5) AND Will Panama wi BUY 3¢ $5 2d
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) BUY Colombia 46¢ $20 2d
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 30¢ $20 2d
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $20 2d
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) BUY Portugal 54¢ $20 2d
Spread: France (-1.5) AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will A BUY 25¢ $10 3d
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: A BUY 4¢ $5 3d
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 72¢ $50 3d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 69¢ $50 3d
Spread: Norway (-1.5) BUY Norway 60¢ $51 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 91 history records