Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T18:14:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
C0 0xc0a7…6528 crypto 321 markets active 2d ago coverage 293d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$181 (+3%) realized +$181 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -5% what you keep after slip
Net edge-5%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate52%168W / 153L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day2.4pace
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$116
14 days+$182
30 days+$184
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% +$143
other 6% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 -5.6% -14.6% 50% 50% -15.0%
≤30d 308 +6.2% -3.9% 54% 54% -6.9%
≤90d 308 +6.2% -3.9% 54% 54% -6.9%
all 321 +4.6% -5.3% 52% 52% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.3% 52% -7.9%
10% -14.4% 52% -16.7%
15% -22.7% 52% -24.8%
20% -30.2% 52% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$20 vs −$21 · ×0.94 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.04 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

293d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$181
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses168 / 153
Open positions0
Markets (closed)321 / 321
History coverage293d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 321 Trades
no open positions (142 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 22 $20 +$17 +87%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 22 $20 +$17 +84%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 22 $21 +$18 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 22 $21 +$18 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 22 $20 −$19 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 22 $21 −$21 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 22 $23 −$22 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 22 $13 −$13 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 22 $8 −$8 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 22 $19 −$18 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 22 $21 +$19 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 22 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 22 $24 +$24 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 22 $24 +$21 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 22 $21 +$19 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 22 $21 +$19 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 22 $21 +$18 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 22 $24 +$21 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 22 $21 +$17 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 22 $18 −$18 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 22 $21 −$20 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 22 $23 +$21 +87%
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 22 $19 −$18 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 22 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 22 $21 +$20 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 22 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 22 $23 +$20 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 22 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 22 $13 −$13 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3PM ET Jun 18 $21 +$19 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 18 $26 −$26 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $26 −$26 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 18 $24 −$24 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 18 $26 −$25 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $24 −$23 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $29 +$25 +87%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $13 +$11 +82%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $27 −$26 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $22 +$18 +82%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 18 $21 +$18 +82%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $25 −$24 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 18 $27 +$23 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 18 $23 +$18 +79%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $19 +$15 +82%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 18 $19 −$18 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $3 +$2 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $24 +$19 +82%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 18 $23 −$23 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 18 $24 −$23 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $20 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $20 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $23 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $20 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $13 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $8 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $19 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $24 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $24 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $24 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $13 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $21 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $23 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $19 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $23 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $13 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 898 history records