Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:06:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc0ba…57ec
crypto · 209 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$22 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$7
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses114 / 94
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)208 / 209
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day110.3
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 208 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 32¢ 22¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-33%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -68%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +218%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -89%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -69%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$17
sports 8% +$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 208 -2.5% -11.7% 55% 47% -8.6%
≤30d 208 -2.5% -11.7% 55% 47% -8.6%
≤90d 208 -2.5% -11.7% 55% 47% -8.6%
all 208 -2.5% -11.7% 55% 47% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover110.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 47% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 35% -17.4%
15% -27.9% 32% -25.3%
20% -35.0% 31% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.98 · official $2.62 (match) · 436 history records