Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:37:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
C0 0xc0c8…97b4 sports 1352 markets active 8h ago coverage 125d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 124d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$4,273 (-2%) realized −$4,273 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate60%873W / 570L
Whale WR75%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$152per market
Trades / day26.7pace
Fees−$1,128est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 125d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 95% −$2,947
other 4% −$1,565
crypto 1% −$414
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 168 -61.6% -65.3% 26% 20% -45.7%
≤30d 426 -25.6% -32.7% 51% 43% -24.4%
≤90d 1045 -12.3% -20.6% 59% 53% -17.6%
all 1443 -9.9% -18.5% 60% 55% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.5% 55% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -26.3% 42% -24.3%
15% -33.4% 30% -31.6%
20% -39.9% 18% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 75% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -4% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$43 vs −$96 · ×0.45 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.69 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

125d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,273
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses873 / 570
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$1,128
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1443 / 1352
History coverage125d ⚠
Avg bet$152
Trades / day26.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1443 Trades
no open positions (457 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $76 −$76 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Jun 17 $92 −$92 -100%
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-02-07? Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Los Ratones vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jun 17 $277 −$277 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $68 −$68 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $82 −$82 -100%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 17 $66 −$66 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play Jun 17 $177 −$177 -100%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 17 $57 −$57 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winner Jun 17 $122 −$122 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jun 17 $154 −$154 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playo Jun 17 $101 −$101 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) Jun 17 $53 −$53 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 17 $418 −$418 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO1) Jun 17 $106 −$106 -100%
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO1) Jun 17 $156 −$156 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jun 17 $120 −$120 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $95 −$95 -100%
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playof Jun 17 $132 −$132 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $234 −$234 -100%
LoL: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jun 17 $114 −$114 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $110 −$110 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $150 −$150 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Jun 17 $102 −$75 -74%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $427 −$427 -100%
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $0 −$103 -92071%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 4 Winner Jun 17 $50 −$78 -157%
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $153 −$153 -100%
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage Jun 17 $94 −$94 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $162 −$162 -100%
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1) Jun 17 $73 −$73 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 17 $152 −$152 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $68 −$68 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jun 17 $41 −$41 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qual Jun 17 $189 −$189 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs Jun 17 $207 −$207 -100%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO1) - IEM Rio: Global Jun 17 $157 −$157 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Jun 17 $124 −$124 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jun 17 $158 −$158 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 17 $222 −$222 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $43 −$43 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jun 17 $315 −$315 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 17 $125 −$125 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $108 −$108 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5) Jun 17 $104 −$108 -104%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 63¢ $101 8h
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals BUY Yes 63¢ $101 10h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 66¢ $202 13h
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Leviatán Esports 69¢ $298 27h
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 84¢ $502 29h
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? SELL No 42¢ $451 30h
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 79¢ $868 31h
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? SELL No 52¢ $506 31h
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Leviatán Esports 68¢ $303 32h
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 81¢ $805 32h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? SELL No 58¢ $577 33h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 87¢ $880 34h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 54¢ $125 34h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 64¢ $152 34h
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $569 35h
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? BUY Yes 87¢ $445 35h
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? BUY Yes 85¢ $51 35h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 65¢ $349 36h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Natus Vincere 30¢ $1 36h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Natus Vincere 30¢ $3 36h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Natus Vincere 30¢ $36 36h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Natus Vincere 30¢ $5 36h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Natus Vincere 30¢ $10 36h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Natus Vincere 30¢ $30 36h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Natus Vincere 30¢ $4 36h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Natus Vincere 30¢ $9 36h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Natus Vincere 30¢ $1 36h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Natus Vincere 30¢ $50 36h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Natus Vincere 30¢ $57 36h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Natus Vincere 30¢ $1 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records