Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T06:38:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc0ca…0c2e crypto 155 markets active 10d ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (2917 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$2,452 (+13%) realized +$2,452 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +306% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +213% what you keep after slip
Net edge+213%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate56%113W / 87L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$119per market
Trades / day2917.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$6now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$207
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2917 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+267.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 +1346.7% +1208.9% 69% 69% +565.5%
≤30d 200 +306.0% +267.4% 56% 42% -10.3%
≤90d 200 +306.0% +267.4% 56% 42% -10.3%
all 200 +306.0% +267.4% 56% 42% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2917.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +267.4% 42% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here +232.2% 30% -18.9%
15% +200.1% 22% -26.7%
20% +170.7% 21% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
26% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +306% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late +607% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
18.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$19 vs −$20 · ×0.95 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.23 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$6
Realized+$2,452
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses113 / 87
Open positions0
Markets (closed)200 / 155
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$119
Trades / day2917.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 200 Trades
no open positions (45 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$10 -1598%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$8 +3734%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$128 -24322%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 29 $0 −$11 -2250%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 29 $0 −$15 -3033%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 29 $0 −$13 -3315%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 29 $0 −$28 -9977%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 29 $0 −$86 -28106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 29 $0 −$33 -11881%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 29 $0 −$9 -5504%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$21 +26916%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 29 $0 −$19 -13750%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 29 $0 −$46 -29872%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$68 +1114751%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 29 $0 −$1 -228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$32 +17399%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$36 +86860%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$4 +3125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$61 +106124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$7 +2915%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$18 +130482%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$76 +243936%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$47 +645864%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$22 +18387%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$48 +49085%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 29 $0 −$46 -9577%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$4 +4163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 29 $0 −$52 -11650%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$20 +24126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$45 +24239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$30 +64700%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$31 +125828%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$54 +634626%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$32 +17437%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$26 +115340%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$28 +11031%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$62 +29524%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$25 +20786%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$14 +98301%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$48 +647708%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$66 +235776%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$37 +41289%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$40 +68152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$59 +347135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$45 +43692%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 19 $80 +$8 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 19 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 19 $281 −$14 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 19 $215 −$14 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $18 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $25 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $18 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $17 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $19 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $8 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $12 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $16 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.54 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records