Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:17:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc0dc…f68f
sports · 679 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,199 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,894 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$321
Realized−$1,894
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses561 / 132
Whale WR (big bets)91%
Est. fees paid−$137
Open positions1
Markets (closed)693 / 679
History coverage116d
Avg bet$471
Trades / day29.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 1 History 693 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$996
7 days−$860
14 days−$1,055
30 days−$2,387
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $322 $321 −$1 (-0%)
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08? Yes 92¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Blues vs. Panthers Panthers 63¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Jaguars vs. Texans Jaguars 97¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcats Arizona Wildcats 81¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Devils vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08? Yes 67¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Women's Knockout - Switzerland vs. Sweden Sweden 71¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Wizards vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies 84¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Wild vs. Blackhawks Blackhawks 85¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? No 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Kings vs. Lightning Lightning 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Duke Blue Devils vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Duke Blue Devils 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Yes 95¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks San Francisco Giants 90¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Suns Suns 91¢ 0¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox No 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bills vs. Dolphins Bills 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Duquesne Dukes Duquesne Dukes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Jets vs. Blues Jets 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Pepperdine Waves vs. Portland Pilots Portland Pilots 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina Pittsburgh 81¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Under 97¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Women's Final - USA vs. Canada Canada 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08? Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Blues vs. Panthers Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Jaguars vs. Texans Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcats Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Devils vs. Golden Knights Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08? Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Wizards vs. Grizzlies Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Wild vs. Blackhawks Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Kings vs. Lightning Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Duke Blue Devils vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Hawks vs. Suns Jun 14 $199 −$199 -100%
Bills vs. Dolphins Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Duquesne Dukes Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Jets vs. Blues Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $184 +$39 +21%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $96 +$4 +4%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $179 +$21 +12%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $62 +$18 +30%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $137 +$16 +12%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $327 −$316 -96%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $200 +$12 +6%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $195 +$5 +2%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $412 +$14 +4%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $47 +$3 +6%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $138 +$2 +2%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $196 +$4 +2%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $401 $0 +0%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $97 −$28 -29%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $552 +$75 +14%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $87 +$13 +14%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $196 +$3 +2%
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $92 $0 +0%
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $169 +$15 +9%
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $144 −$85 -59%
Will Russia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $297 +$2 +1%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $98 +$2 +2%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $95 +$5 +5%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $46 +$4 +8%
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? Jun 09 $26 +$4 +17%
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $91 +$9 +10%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $102 +$6 +6%
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $29 −$14 -49%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $461 +$25 +6%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $91 +$9 +10%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $96 +$4 +4%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $87 +$13 +14%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 5.5 Jun 08 $46 +$3 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% −$390
other 18% −$762
world 0% +$11
crypto 0% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $323 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 100¢ $223 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 100¢ $100 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $22 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 82¢ $82 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 79¢ $79 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 96¢ $96 2h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $200 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 80¢ $80 4h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 93¢ $94 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 61¢ $62 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $154 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 93¢ $50 7h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 87¢ $87 7h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 85¢ $85 7h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 3¢ $11 10h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $213 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 94¢ $126 11h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $200 16h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $101 27h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $101 27h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 85¢ $50 27h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 100¢ $200 28h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 97¢ $48 28h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $427 28h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $225 29h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 95¢ $95 29h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 92¢ $92 29h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 98¢ $195 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 -24.9% -32.1% 67% 12% -17.8%
≤30d 284 -8.6% -17.3% 82% 9% -12.4%
≤90d 548 -5.8% -14.8% 82% 6% -10.3%
all 693 -5.3% -14.3% 81% 6% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 6% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 2% -18.7%
15% -30.0% 1% -26.5%
20% -36.9% 1% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $320.80 · official $320.80 (match) · 3500 history records