Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc0ee…8291
world · 85 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$9 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP world specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses31 / 48
Open positions6
Markets (closed)79 / 85
History coverage37d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day10.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 79 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$11
14 days−$9
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No 34¢ 43¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+27%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? No 84¢ 92¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+10%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No 58¢ 56¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? No 83¢ 57¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-31%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? No 42¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-32%)
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes 5¢ 2¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-68%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 Jun 12 $1 +$2 +136%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? Jun 12 $2 +$8 +371%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 12 $1 −$1 -58%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Jun 12 $4 $0 -1%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 12 $3 −$1 -26%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? Jun 09 $2 +$2 +99%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 08 $2 $0 +10%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $3 −$1 -25%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 05 $8 −$1 -12%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 04 $4 +$1 +27%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? Jun 04 $4 −$2 -38%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 03 $1 $0 +2%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? Jun 02 $3 $0 +13%
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $4 −$2 -49%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Jun 01 $11 −$3 -29%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? Jun 01 $2 −$1 -46%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31? Jun 01 $3 −$1 -44%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? Jun 01 $3 −$2 -66%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? May 31 $7 −$1 -8%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? May 31 $4 −$2 -53%
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? May 29 $3 $0 -15%
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? May 28 $7 +$2 +35%
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? May 27 $1 $0 +5%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? May 27 $2 $0 -5%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? May 27 $9 $0 -2%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 27 $2 $0 +0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? May 27 $1 $0 -0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? May 27 $1 $0 +1%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? May 27 $2 $0 -5%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? May 27 $6 +$1 +25%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 26 $18 −$2 -11%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28? May 26 $1 +$13 +1169%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? May 25 $1 $0 +4%
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? May 25 $1 +$2 +146%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? May 25 $1 $0 -3%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? May 25 $1 $0 -2%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? May 24 $1 $0 -0%
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma May 24 $3 +$3 +99%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30? May 24 $1 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 96% +$10
finance 2% −$1
other 1% $0
politics 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? BUY No 58¢ $2 16m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY No 28¢ $2 31m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY No 84¢ $2 37m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY No 29¢ $2 40m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY No 29¢ $2 40m
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? SELL No 76¢ $2 1h
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? SELL No 97¢ $1 1h
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $2 1h
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 SELL Yes 41¢ $3 1h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? SELL Yes 38¢ $10 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 31¢ $0 1h
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? SELL No 83¢ $2 1h
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? SELL No 86¢ $3 1h
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? SELL No 90¢ $2 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 71¢ $1 29h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL No 86¢ $1 29h
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? BUY No 78¢ $1 37h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY No 69¢ $1 37h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY No 69¢ $1 37h
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? BUY No 83¢ $1 37h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL No 62¢ $4 37h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 2d
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? SELL No 74¢ $3 2d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? BUY No 81¢ $1 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? BUY No 81¢ $1 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? BUY No 81¢ $1 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? SELL Yes 12¢ $3 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? SELL Yes 13¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)+6.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +27.6% +15.5% 59% 29% +8.5%
≤30d 75 +19.1% +7.8% 41% 19% -5.5%
≤90d 79 +17.5% +6.3% 39% 18% -6.7%
all 79 +17.5% +6.3% 39% 18% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +6.3% 18% -6.7%
10% -3.9% 15% -15.6%
15% -13.2% 11% -23.8%
20% -21.7% 10% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.73 · official $16.73 (match) · 426 history records