Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T12:53:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc0f3…8dd9 sports 183 markets active 2h ago coverage 301d
TRAPdo not copy Fading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2,129 (-2%) realized −$2,129 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate51%93W / 90L
Whale WR67%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$631per market
Trades / day3.6pace
Fees−$1,043est.
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,973
7 days−$10,973
14 days−$10,973
30 days−$11,913
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 74% −$2,084
other 13% +$1,082
world 7% −$403
crypto 4% −$984
politics 1% +$4
finance 0% +$12
weather 0% +$7
economics 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -88.6% -89.7% 9% 5% -61.1%
≤30d 27 -72.0% -74.7% 19% 11% -51.2%
≤90d 109 -44.1% -49.4% 34% 25% -17.4%
all 183 -12.2% -20.6% 51% 37% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.6% 37% -11.4%
10% -28.2% 30% -19.9%
15% -35.1% 23% -27.6%
20% -41.5% 22% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
27% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 67% (≥$822) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +11% → late -36% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
5.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$184 vs −$221 · ×0.83 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

301d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,129
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses93 / 90
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$1,043
Open positions0
Markets (closed)183 / 183
History coverage301d
Avg bet$631
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 183 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 29 $3,584 +$233 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 28 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 28 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $77 −$77 -100%
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $84 −$84 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 28 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 28 $78 −$78 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 28 $191 −$191 -100%
Rome: Andrea Guerrieri vs Pol Martin Tiffon Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $365 −$365 -100%
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $70 −$70 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $314 −$296 -94%
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $621 −$621 -100%
Madrid Open: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmane Jun 28 $585 −$585 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $1,109 −$1,109 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $94 −$94 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 28 $1,379 −$1,379 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 28 $1,273 −$1,273 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 28 $5,220 −$4,330 -83%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 28 $104 −$104 -100%
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 28 $931 −$931 -100%
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu Jun 28 $2,927 +$638 +22%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $1,073 −$884 -82%
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romano Jun 10 $203 +$161 +79%
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Jun 07 $846 +$67 +8%
Foggia: Andreea Prisacariu vs Nika Radisic Jun 02 $2,807 −$696 -25%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 01 $1,649 +$412 +25%
Manresa vs. Real Madrid May 29 $204 +$391 +192%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 17 $1,387 +$1 +0%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner May 16 $1,156 +$228 +20%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner May 16 $1,255 −$116 -9%
Geneva Open, Qualification: Daniel Galan vs Nishesh Basavareddy May 16 $1,287 −$130 -10%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 14 $1,012 −$144 -14%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner May 14 $2,427 +$230 +10%
Bengaluru 2: Alastair Gray vs Manish Sureshkumar May 13 $1,935 +$491 +25%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmic May 12 $2,069 −$146 -7%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud May 12 $1,968 +$60 +3%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Jakub Mensik May 10 $2,076 +$310 +15%
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner May 09 $1,616 +$456 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET May 07 $60 +$17 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 07 $51 +$9 +18%
Wuxi: Alastair Gray vs Jie Cui May 06 $1,270 +$411 +32%
Santos: Mateus Cardoso Alves vs Hernan Casanova May 06 $822 +$447 +54%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Taylor Townsend vs Nuria Brancaccio May 06 $638 +$184 +29%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katerina Siniakova vs Lois Boisson May 06 $1,543 −$912 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET May 03 $26 +$22 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET May 03 $26 +$34 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET May 03 $26 +$26 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 03 $5 $0 +0%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 01 $101 −$28 -28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics SELL Marton Fucsovics 95¢ $3,816 2h
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics BUY Marton Fucsovics 88¢ $3,584 2h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu SELL Antonia Ruzic 45¢ $3,566 29h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 37¢ $1,357 45h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 37¢ $9 45h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 37¢ $104 45h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 37¢ $78 47h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 37¢ $78 47h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 37¢ $78 47h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 37¢ $78 47h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 37¢ $78 47h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 37¢ $328 47h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 37¢ $6 47h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 37¢ $19 47h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 37¢ $19 47h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 37¢ $19 47h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 37¢ $15 47h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 37¢ $19 47h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 37¢ $8 47h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 37¢ $19 47h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 36¢ $620 47h
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 25¢ $0 2d
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Antonia Ruzic 25¢ $0 2d
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 51¢ $191 15d
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini SELL Andrea Collarini 12¢ $189 17d
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Andrea Collarini 66¢ $1,073 17d
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romano BUY Filippo Romano 55¢ $203 20d
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar SELL Henrique Rocha 42¢ $135 21d
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar BUY Henrique Rocha 76¢ $846 21d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca BUY Joao Fonseca 44¢ $1,273 26d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1269 history records