Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T20:24:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
C0 0xc0f5…b8e2 crypto 458 markets active 2h ago coverage 537d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$6 (-0%) realized −$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -11% what you keep after slip
Net edge-11%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate95%434W / 23L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$96per market
Trades / day0.9pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$90now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$4
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 56% +$50
sports 44% −$29
culture 0% −$1
other 0% +$1
politics 0% −$6
world 0% −$11
economics 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 26 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 84 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 457 -1.8% -11.2% 95% 5% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.2% 5% -9.5%
10% -19.7% 3% -18.2%
15% -27.4% 2% -26.1%
20% -34.6% 2% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$11 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

537d coverage
Net worth$90
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses434 / 23
Open positions1
Markets (closed)457 / 458
History coverage537d
Avg bet$96
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 457 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 20? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $90 $90 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 19? Jun 19 $123 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 18? Jun 18 $122 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $122 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $122 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 15? Jun 15 $122 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 14? Jun 14 $121 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 13? Jun 13 $121 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12? Jun 12 $121 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $121 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $120 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $119 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? Jun 08 $119 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 5? Jun 05 $119 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4? Jun 04 $118 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 3? Jun 03 $118 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2? Jun 02 $118 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1? Jun 01 $118 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 31? Jun 01 $118 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 30? May 30 $118 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28? May 28 $118 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 27? May 27 $117 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 26? May 26 $117 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25? May 25 $117 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 24? May 24 $117 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 23? May 23 $116 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 21? May 22 $116 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20? May 20 $116 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 19? May 19 $116 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 18? May 18 $116 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 17? May 17 $116 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 16? May 16 $116 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 15? May 15 $115 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14? May 14 $115 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13? May 13 $115 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12? May 12 $115 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11? May 11 $115 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 9? May 09 $115 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8? May 08 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7? May 07 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 6? May 06 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 5? May 05 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4? May 04 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3? May 03 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2? May 02 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 1? May 01 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30? Apr 30 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29? Apr 29 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28? Apr 28 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 27? Apr 27 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26? Apr 26 $112 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 20? BUY Yes 100¢ $90 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $123 22h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $122 47h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $122 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 100¢ $122 4d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 15? BUY Yes 100¢ $122 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $121 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $121 7d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $121 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $121 9d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 99¢ $120 10d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $119 11d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $119 12d
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $119 15d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4? BUY Yes 100¢ $118 16d
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $118 17d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2? BUY Yes 100¢ $118 18d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1? BUY No 100¢ $118 18d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 31? BUY Yes 100¢ $118 20d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $118 20d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28? BUY No 100¢ $118 23d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 27? BUY No 100¢ $117 24d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 26? BUY Yes 100¢ $117 25d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25? BUY Yes 100¢ $117 26d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 24? BUY Yes 100¢ $117 27d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 23? BUY No 100¢ $116 28d
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 21? BUY No 100¢ $116 30d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20? BUY Yes 100¢ $116 31d
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 19? BUY No 100¢ $116 32d
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 18? BUY No 100¢ $116 33d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $90.07 · official $90.07 (match) · 958 history records