Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:42:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc0f8…ae2e
sports · 890 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$68,229 +25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$39,835 · open +$7,756
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13,524
Realized+$39,835
Unrealized+$7,756
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses573 / 288
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Est. fees paid−$1,127
Open positions43
Markets (closed)861 / 890
History coverage42d
Avg bet$301
Trades / day63.1
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 43 History 861 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5,074
7 days+$25,243
14 days+$31,866
30 days+$35,476
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Canada (-3.5) Qatar 1¢ 86¢ $71 $6,101 +$6,030 (+8500%)
Spread: Brazil (-4.5) Haiti 1¢ 62¢ $23 $1,421 +$1,398 (+6150%)
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 81¢ 83¢ $613 $627 +$14 (+2%)
Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros: O/U 0.5 Over 74¢ 50¢ $838 $568 −$271 (-32%)
Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros: O/U 5.5 Under 75¢ 50¢ $478 $319 −$159 (-33%)
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-05-31? No 59¢ 54¢ $291 $264 −$27 (-9%)
Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-05-24? Yes 58¢ 73¢ $202 $255 +$53 (+26%)
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 57¢ 60¢ $205 $215 +$11 (+5%)
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 12.5 Total Corners Under 83¢ 84¢ $212 $214 +$1 (+1%)
Club Blooming vs. CD Real Tomayapo: O/U 4.5 Over 24¢ 58¢ $85 $206 +$121 (+142%)
Counter-Strike: gothboiclique vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - TESFED League Play-In gothboiclique 41¢ 50¢ $164 $200 +$36 (+22%)
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Under 76¢ 76¢ $182 $181 −$1 (-1%)
Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-2.5) CF Universidad de Chile 91¢ 96¢ $109 $116 +$6 (+6%)
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-09? Yes 64¢ 100¢ $61 $96 +$34 (+56%)
Will Netherlands vs. Poland end in a draw? No 82¢ 100¢ $79 $95 +$17 (+21%)
Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-06-09? No 90¢ 100¢ $85 $94 +$9 (+11%)
Will Hungary vs. Andorra end in a draw? No 85¢ 100¢ $80 $93 +$14 (+17%)
Will Latvia vs. Slovakia end in a draw? No 82¢ 100¢ $75 $92 +$17 (+23%)
Will Georgia vs. Greece end in a draw? No 81¢ 100¢ $75 $92 +$17 (+23%)
Will Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago end in a draw? No 90¢ 100¢ $83 $92 +$9 (+11%)
Spread: CA Nacional Potosí (-2.5) CA Nacional Potosí 20¢ 48¢ $36 $89 +$53 (+145%)
Will Azerbaijan vs. San Marino end in a draw? No 81¢ 100¢ $69 $86 +$16 (+23%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-09? No 25¢ 100¢ $21 $85 +$64 (+300%)
CA Nacional Potosí vs. CDT Real Oruro: O/U 4.5 Over 22¢ 56¢ $33 $85 +$51 (+154%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 4.5 Corners Under 26¢ 36¢ $62 $83 +$21 (+34%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Kataller Toyama vs. Kōchi United SC: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Kamatamare Sanuki win on 2026-04-18? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Los Angeles Thieves - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Gr Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Season Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Will RB Ōmiya Ardija win on 2026-04-29? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Will FC Ōsaka vs. Kamatamare Sanuki end in a draw? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will FC Ōsaka win on 2026-04-18? Jun 14 $331 −$482 -146%
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Infinite (BO1) - Esplay Elite Gaming Group A Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Kataller Toyama win on 2026-04-25? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: New Meta vs L Guide Gaming (BO3) - LJL Regular Season Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs MAJIX ESPORTS - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $579 −$573 -99%
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs MAJIX ESPORTS (BO3) - Exort Series Jun 14 $71 −$71 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $102 −$102 -100%
Exact Score: DR Congo 2 - 1 Chile? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
WTT - Men's Singles: Guan-Hong Kuo vs Yuanyu Chen Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Northampton Saints win? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 12.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $1,538 −$1,538 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) Jun 14 $29 +$11 +38%
Spread: CD Huachipato (-2.5) Jun 14 $26 +$2 +6%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Corners Jun 14 $400 +$281 +70%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $22 +$8 +34%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1,050 +$287 +27%
Spread: CD Cobresal (-2.5) Jun 14 $53 +$3 +6%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 13 $58 +$41 +71%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$2 +50%
Will Exeter Chiefs win? Jun 13 $2,494 +$6 +0%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $5 +$24 +474%
Spread: CD Palestino (-1.5) Jun 13 $28 +$7 +24%
Spread: CD Palestino (-2.5) Jun 13 $43 +$11 +25%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $803 +$640 +80%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 3.5 Corners Jun 13 $211 +$88 +42%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $4,548 +$4,210 +93%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $167 +$220 +132%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $704 +$1,376 +196%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $105 +$41 +39%
Spread: O'Higgins FC (-2.5) Jun 13 $24 +$2 +10%
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $121 +$12 +10%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Belarus vs. Armenia end in a draw? Jun 13 $92 +$16 +17%
Will France win on 2026-06-09? Jun 13 $79 +$38 +49%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-09? Jun 13 $126 +$26 +20%
Will Israel vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 13 $120 +$18 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 52% +$11,010
sports 47% +$37,801
world 1% −$12
weather 0% +$11
crypto 0% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Canada (-3.5) BUY Qatar 1¢ $4 31m
Spread: Canada (-3.5) BUY Qatar 1¢ $42 31m
Spread: Canada (-3.5) BUY Qatar 1¢ $24 31m
Spread: Brazil (-4.5) BUY Haiti 1¢ $23 53m
Avaí FC vs. Cuiabá EC: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 91¢ $10 1h
Avaí FC vs. Cuiabá EC: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 91¢ $15 1h
Avaí FC vs. Cuiabá EC: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 91¢ $5 1h
Vila Nova FC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 89¢ $33 3h
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 46¢ $19 4h
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 73¢ $11 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Under 58¢ $400 18h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 74¢ $22 18h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 12.5 Total Corners BUY Under 41¢ $229 19h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Under 70¢ $211 19h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Under 14¢ $144 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Under 13¢ $68 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 76¢ $11 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 76¢ $55 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 76¢ $3 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $700 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 67¢ $34 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 72¢ $9 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 72¢ $462 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 71¢ $9 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 73¢ $9 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 58¢ $34 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 60¢ $19 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 60¢ $4 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 67¢ $27 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 71¢ $57 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 147 +62.7% +47.2% 67% 49% +13.8%
≤30d 687 +26.4% +14.4% 68% 45% +3.3%
≤90d 861 +29.6% +17.2% 67% 44% +2.9%
all 861 +29.6% +17.2% 67% 44% +2.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +17.2% 44% +2.9%
10% ← realistic here +6.0% 33% -6.9%
15% -4.2% 26% -15.9%
20% -13.6% 21% -24.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13,524.15 · official $13,522.84 (match) · 3500 history records