trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +1.4% | -8.2% | 44% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +1.4% | -8.2% | 44% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +1.4% | -8.2% | 44% | 0% | -9.0% |
| all | 27 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 56% | 4% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.3% | 4% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -17.0% | 0% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -25.0% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -32.4% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 81¢ | 81¢ | $44 | $44 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 14 | $6 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 12 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $38 | $0 | +1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 09 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 09 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Jun 08 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Dec 14 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Jun 27 | $3 | +$1 | +18% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times June 6–13? | Jun 10 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30? | Jun 10 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 10 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? | Jun 09 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Jun 08 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 08 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? | Jun 08 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025? | Jun 07 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jun 04 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 03 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening | Jun 03 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | May 30 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series? | May 30 | $21 | $0 | +0% |