Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:08:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc0ff…136b crypto 729 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1880 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$15,890 (-37%) realized −$15,916 · open +$26
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate44%374W / 468L
Drawdown57%max
Avg bet$59per market
Trades / day1879.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$192now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$21,876
other 0% +$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1880 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 842 +2.5% -7.3% 44% 44% +15.3%
≤30d 842 +2.5% -7.3% 44% 44% +15.3%
≤90d 842 +2.5% -7.3% 44% 44% +15.3%
all 842 +2.5% -7.3% 44% 44% +15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1879.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 44% +15.3%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 44% +4.3%
15% -24.3% 44% -5.8%
20% -31.7% 44% -15.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +28% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +28% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +80% → late -75% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$64 vs −$30 · ×2.09 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.67 per $1 lost it wins $1.67
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$192
Realized−$15,916
Unrealized+$26
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses374 / 468
Open positions4
Markets (closed)842 / 729
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$59
Trades / day1879.6
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 4 History 842 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 45¢ 62¢ $20 $28 +$8 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $9 $20 +$10 (+111%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $7 $15 +$8 (+110%)
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+120%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 465 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $11 +$14 +122%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$4 +122%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +122%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +122%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +108%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +108%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +108%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +122%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +113%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +122%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +122%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$2 +122%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$2 +122%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$2 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +127%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +122%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +122%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +113%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +122%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +122%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +122%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $0 +$1 +122%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $0 +$1 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +108%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +117%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +113%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +108%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET Jun 15 $31 −$31 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5AM ET Jun 15 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $67 −$67 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $117 −$117 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $48 −$48 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 9AM ET Jun 15 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $14 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $20 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $20 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $31 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $34 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $31 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $24 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $20 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $70 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $8 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $24 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $20 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $20 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $70 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $31 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $34 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $31 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $24 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $20 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $17 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $24 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $20 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $191.95 · official $185.17 · 3500 history records