Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:20:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc125…a4c1
tech · 4 markets active 191d ago
0.5score
+$26,771 +296%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$26,771 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY tech specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$26,771
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2,262
Trades / day21.5
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes 49¢ $3,675 $0 −$3,675 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Dec 04 $2,806 +$29,539 +1053%
Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 202 Dec 04 $330 +$849 +257%
Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the #1 searched song on Google this year? Dec 04 $2,237 +$58 +3%
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Dec 03 $3,675 −$3,675 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
tech 96% +$25,922
other 4% +$849
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 100¢ $13,270 191d
Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the #1 searched song on Google this year? BUY No 97¢ $2,237 191d
Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 202 SELL Yes 99¢ $979 191d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 99¢ $4,644 191d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 99¢ $113 191d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 99¢ $1,510 191d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 99¢ $940 191d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 99¢ $11,867 191d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 99¢ $1 191d
Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 202 BUY Yes 28¢ $280 192d
Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 202 BUY Yes 27¢ $23 192d
Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 202 BUY Yes 26¢ $1 192d
Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 202 BUY Yes 26¢ $26 192d
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes 49¢ $3,675 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $90 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $213 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $2 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $32 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $29 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $1 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $21 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $450 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $293 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $22 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $24 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $84 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $8 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $2 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes 10¢ $114 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes 10¢ $288 192d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+264.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 4 +303.1% +264.7% 75% 50% +258.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.5 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +264.7% 50% +258.2%
10% +229.8% 50% +223.9%
15% ← realistic here +198.0% 50% +192.6%
20% +168.8% 50% +163.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 53 history records