trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +7.1% | -3.1% | 50% | 50% | -3.8% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 33% | 11% | -8.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 33% | 11% | -8.4% |
| all | 20 | -9.5% | -18.1% | 40% | 5% | -11.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.1% | 5% | -11.0% |
| 10% | -26.0% | 0% | -19.5% |
| 15% | -33.1% | 0% | -27.3% |
| 20% | -39.7% | 0% | -34.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 23 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $35 | +$5 | +14% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 04 | $68 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 04 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $69 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 03 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 31 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 30 | $16 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 28 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York | Jun 26 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Elon tweet 140–154 times May 30–June 6? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 05 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Elon go on Daily Show before April? | Mar 28 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Another crypto hack over $1b before April? | Mar 27 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel military action against Iranian nuclear facility in March? | Mar 27 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Dillon Danis win the match? | Mar 26 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 25 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | Mar 18 | $14 | $0 | -3% |