Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc14b…64be
crypto · 129 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$18 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$101
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses60 / 65
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)125 / 129
History coverage107d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 3 History 125 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$72
7 days+$72
14 days+$72
30 days+$76
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $70 $82 +$12 (+17%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-17%)
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5 Under 16¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$14 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $62 +$22 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$29 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$18 +46%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $17 +$59 +337%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$50 +234%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$26 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$13 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$36 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $18 +$31 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $37 −$36 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET May 27 $68 +$68 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET May 27 $88 −$30 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET May 27 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET May 27 $29 −$28 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET May 27 $170 −$6 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET May 27 $42 −$9 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 27 $126 +$25 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET May 27 $42 −$29 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET May 27 $94 +$31 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET May 27 $31 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET May 27 $46 −$34 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET May 27 $57 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET May 27 $30 −$29 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET May 27 $49 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET May 27 $53 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 27 $15 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 27 $26 +$33 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Mar 02 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Mar 02 $86 −$36 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Mar 02 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Mar 02 $15 −$10 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Mar 02 $58 +$15 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Mar 02 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Mar 01 $11 −$11 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Mar 01 $69 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Mar 01 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Mar 01 $217 +$10 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Mar 01 $40 −$22 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Mar 01 $19 −$8 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Mar 01 $45 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Mar 01 $10 −$9 -91%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Mar 01 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Mar 01 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Mar 01 $40 +$33 +84%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$46
other 5% +$67
sports 2% −$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $16 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Paraguay win o BUY 5¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 2h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $21 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $48 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $16 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $16 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $16 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $28 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $11 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $16 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $16 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $16 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +43.4% +29.7% 50% 44% +9.7%
≤30d 33 +14.3% +3.4% 42% 36% -3.8%
≤90d 33 +14.3% +3.4% 42% 36% -3.8%
all 125 -2.3% -11.6% 48% 42% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.6% 42% -9.9%
10% -20.1% 36% -18.5%
15% -27.8% 26% -26.4%
20% -34.9% 20% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $100.83 · official $127.83 · 688 history records