Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:16:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc14c…8da0
crypto · 1596 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$27 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$87 · open −$60
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$132
Realized+$87
Unrealized−$60
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses219 / 1387
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1606 / 1596
History coverage3d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day185.2
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 1606 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days+$87
14 days+$87
30 days+$87
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 53¢ 64¢ $48 $59 +$10 (+21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 52¢ 50¢ $26 $25 −$1 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 56¢ 60¢ $22 $24 +$2 (+8%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 57¢ 58¢ $23 $23 +$1 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$42 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$18 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$24 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$25 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$17 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$18 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$24 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$17 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$22 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$18 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$18 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$17 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$42 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$17 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$44 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$17 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$17 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$357
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $27 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $23 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $23 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $27 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $27 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $27 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $23 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $23 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $22 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $27 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $23 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $22 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $27 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $27 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $27 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $22 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $27 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $18 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1606 -0.8% -10.2% 14% 14% -9.4%
≤30d 1606 -0.8% -10.2% 14% 14% -9.4%
≤90d 1606 -0.8% -10.2% 14% 14% -9.4%
all 1606 -0.8% -10.2% 14% 14% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover185.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 14% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 14% -18.0%
15% -26.7% 11% -26.0%
20% -33.9% 7% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $132.15 · official $117.54 · 3500 history records