trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +23.6% | +11.9% | 70% | 70% | -13.1% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +23.6% | +11.9% | 70% | 70% | -13.1% |
| ≤90d | 32 | -14.6% | -22.8% | 41% | 41% | -38.0% |
| all | 32 | -14.6% | -22.8% | 41% | 41% | -38.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.8% | 41% | -38.0% |
| 10% | -30.1% | 41% | -43.9% |
| 15% | -36.9% | 34% | -49.4% |
| 20% | -43.1% | 34% | -54.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 57¢ | 57¢ | $115 | $115 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | No | 53¢ | 52¢ | $108 | $107 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | No | 47¢ | 48¢ | $96 | $98 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Spread: England (-2.5) | Panama | 57¢ | 60¢ | $52 | $54 | +$2 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $61 | +$15 | +24% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 26 | $82 | +$99 | +121% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $106 | +$96 | +91% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $33 | +$21 | +63% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 26 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 26 | $63 | −$63 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $14 | +$5 | +32% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $34 | +$36 | +108% |
| Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) | Jun 24 | $26 | +$25 | +97% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | Jun 24 | $235 | −$235 | -100% |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) | May 07 | $71 | −$71 | -100% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | May 07 | $405 | −$405 | -100% |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | May 06 | $7 | +$29 | +442% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | May 06 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | May 06 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | May 06 | $86 | −$86 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | May 06 | $61 | −$61 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | May 06 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | May 06 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | May 06 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | May 05 | $122 | +$78 | +64% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | May 05 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5 | May 05 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | May 05 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | May 05 | $41 | −$41 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | May 05 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | May 05 | $48 | +$58 | +122% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | May 04 | $103 | +$85 | +82% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | May 04 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $52 | +$48 | +92% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | May 01 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) | May 01 | $52 | +$48 | +93% |