Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:40:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc155…e36b
sports · 458 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$16 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$60
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses243 / 200
Est. fees paid−$64
Open positions15
Markets (closed)443 / 458
History coverage20d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day148.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 15 History 443 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$167
7 days−$150
14 days−$19
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 59¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+70%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka England 86¢ 89¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+3%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Celine Naef 87¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+15%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jiri Lehecka 77¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+29%)
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Oliver Tarvet 73¢ 91¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+25%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 48¢ 34¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-28%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 52¢ 54¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Francesco Forti 60¢ 64¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+5%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Elena Rybakina 79¢ 85¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+7%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 41¢ 40¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Lucia Bronzetti 83¢ 74¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 19¢ 20¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 77¢ 74¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 76¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-14%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Tristan Boyer 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Carlos Maria Zarate 19¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 61¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Zdenek Kolar 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Julie Struplova 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Dusan Lajovic 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann Lucie Havlickova 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $17 +$3 +16%
Will OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +24%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $3 −$1 -40%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $49 +$7 +14%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $22 +$3 +12%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $6 −$1 -17%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $27 +$4 +13%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $51 +$5 +11%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $6 −$1 -20%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $20 +$2 +9%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $23 +$1 +6%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $7 +$2 +34%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $32 −$4 -12%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $12 +$1 +9%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $9 $0 +3%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $9 $0 +2%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $8 +$5 +63%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $34 −$4 -13%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $7 −$4 -50%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $7 +$4 +54%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $6 −$2 -43%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $8 +$1 +17%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $8 −$2 -29%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Jun 12 $2 +$2 +96%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $35 −$8 -24%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $36 −$5 -14%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $28 −$4 -16%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $19 −$3 -17%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $17 +$2 +12%
ITF Guimaraes: Francisca Jorge vs Aliona Falei Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $8 +$2 +24%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $9 +$3 +31%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $14 +$2 +18%
ITF Hurghada: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Sandra Samir Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $4 +$2 +43%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $3 $0 +18%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $6 +$1 +18%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
ITF Guimaraes: Katarina Kuzmova vs Lauryn John-Baptiste Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
ITF Guimaraes: Katherine Sebov vs Chelsea Fontenel Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 12 $16 +$1 +6%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 12 $13 +$5 +37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% −$12
other 15% −$2
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 91¢ $1 6m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 83¢ $6 9m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 35¢ $1 10m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 35¢ $1 10m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Elena Rybakina 83¢ $2 12m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 69¢ $1 15m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri SELL Francesco Forti 69¢ $1 15m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 72¢ $1 16m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones SELL Jack Pinnington Jones 32¢ $2 20m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 74¢ $1 22m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 53¢ $3 23m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 72¢ $1 23m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 89¢ $3 25m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti SELL Lucia Bronzetti 64¢ $1 26m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 64¢ $2 28m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 73¢ $2 29m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 56¢ $2 31m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 56¢ $2 34m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 43¢ $1 34m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $1 38m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 80¢ $1 40m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 50¢ $1 41m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 78¢ $2 41m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Jacob Fearnley 92¢ $2 42m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Jacob Fearnley 92¢ $1 43m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Jacob Fearnley 96¢ $2 43m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Elena Rybakina 78¢ $1 45m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi SELL Carlos Maria Zarate 42¢ $1 47m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 79¢ $1 47m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti SELL Lucia Bronzetti 72¢ $1 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 270 -11.5% -19.9% 52% 31% -14.7%
≤30d 443 -1.6% -11.0% 55% 37% -9.8%
≤90d 443 -1.6% -11.0% 55% 37% -9.8%
all 443 -1.6% -11.0% 55% 37% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover148.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 37% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 24% -18.5%
15% -27.3% 16% -26.3%
20% -34.4% 11% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.65 · official $58.98 (match) · 3500 history records