Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:38:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc15c…2ca2
crypto · 624 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,008 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,009 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$1,009
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses359 / 264
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions1
Markets (closed)623 / 624
History coverage20d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day54.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 623 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days−$445
14 days−$778
30 days−$1,009
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 30¢ 32¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 26¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $24 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 09 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 09 $8 +$11 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +83%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $32 −$29 -93%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $189 −$71 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 07 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 07 $12 −$5 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 07 $24 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 07 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 07 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 07 $58 −$35 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 07 $42 +$16 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 07 $26 +$16 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 07 $18 +$8 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 07 $14 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 07 $7 +$7 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 07 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 07 $11 −$9 -80%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $12 −$1 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$682
sports 5% −$293
other 4% −$28
politics 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 87 -2.1% -11.4% 52% 38% -23.0%
≤30d 623 -0.9% -10.3% 58% 43% -19.9%
≤90d 623 -0.9% -10.3% 58% 43% -19.9%
all 623 -0.9% -10.3% 58% 43% -19.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 43% -19.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 31% -27.5%
15% -26.7% 21% -34.5%
20% -33.9% 13% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.73 · official $3.01 · 1558 history records