trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 92% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 24 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 96% | 0% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.8% | 0% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -21.1% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -28.7% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -35.7% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $102 | $102 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $100 | $100 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Jun 01 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Jun 01 | $102 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Armenia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | May 17 | $202 | $0 | +0% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 28 | $202 | $0 | +0% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Apr 19 | $199 | +$2 | +1% |
| Mavericks vs. Suns | Apr 10 | $199 | +$1 | +0% |
| Raptors vs. Pistons | Apr 01 | $998 | +$1 | +0% |
| Celtics vs. Hawks | Mar 31 | $995 | +$3 | +0% |
| Clippers vs. Bucks | Mar 31 | $991 | +$4 | +0% |
| Kings vs. Hawks | Mar 29 | $987 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1? | Mar 28 | $7 | −$6 | -93% |
| Wizards vs. Warriors | Mar 28 | $977 | +$10 | +1% |
| Bulls vs. 76ers | Mar 26 | $976 | +$2 | +0% |
| Raptors vs. Suns | Mar 23 | $975 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on Ma | Mar 18 | $973 | +$1 | +0% |
| Knicks vs. Nuggets | Mar 07 | $972 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in February? | Mar 03 | $971 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $130? | Feb 14 | $970 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will "11.22.63" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 20, | Jan 23 | $425 | $0 | +0% |
| Pump.fun all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $50 | +$1 | +1% |
| Aster all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $90 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $271 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $511 | +$2 | +0% |