Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc165…61a9
sports · 290 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$31 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$313
Realized−$33
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses172 / 99
Est. fees paid−$175
Open positions19
Markets (closed)271 / 290
History coverage114d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day8.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 19 History 271 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$128
7 days+$49
14 days+$187
30 days−$140
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Cody Gakpo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 83¢ 82¢ $42 $41 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $34 $33 −$0 (-1%)
Will Luka Modrić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $23 $23 −$0 (-1%)
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 83¢ 82¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-1%)
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 80¢ 80¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Folarin Balogun score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 66¢ 76¢ $16 $19 +$3 (+16%)
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 73¢ 76¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+3%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+6%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-2%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $14 $13 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 46¢ $12 $11 −$0 (-3%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+22%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-8%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-6%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will Pakistan win? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 10¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 M80 33¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 60¢ 0¢ $117 $0 −$117 (-100%)
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Son Heungmin: 1+ shots Jun 12 $12 +$1 +8%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $21 +$9 +41%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $17 +$8 +44%
Patrik Schick: 1+ shots Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $58 −$58 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $16 +$8 +52%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $18 +$8 +43%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$4 +18%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $42 +$7 +17%
Hwang Heechan: 1+ shots Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $75 +$9 +12%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $25 −$24 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 Jun 11 $16 +$4 +27%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $24 +$13 +53%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $19 +$6 +33%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $34 +$22 +64%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $21 +$4 +20%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $11 +$5 +42%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $14 +$8 +63%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $28 −$28 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $16 +$6 +35%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $19 +$6 +33%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $20 +$5 +25%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $117 +$9 +8%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $16 +$5 +35%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $18 +$8 +43%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $13 +$9 +66%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $15 +$17 +111%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $55 +$23 +42%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $12 −$12 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $103 +$24 +23%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $17 +$19 +111%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $8 +$5 +64%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $24 +$20 +83%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $12 +$10 +83%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $25 +$19 +76%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $15 +$2 +15%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $15 +$10 +70%
Will New Zealand win? Jun 05 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $82 +$3 +4%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $130 +$31 +24%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $23 −$23 -100%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 04 $29 +$21 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$282
other 13% +$240
politics 1% +$11
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $12 26m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $14 28m
Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 80¢ $20 2h
Will Cody Gakpo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 83¢ $42 2h
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 82¢ $21 2h
Will Folarin Balogun score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 66¢ $17 3h
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 73¢ $5 3h
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 73¢ $14 3h
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA Worl BUY No 83¢ $21 3h
Will Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 67¢ $34 3h
Will Luka Modrić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 46¢ $23 3h
Patrik Schick: 1+ shots SELL Yes 0¢ $0 8h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 28¢ $7 9h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 50¢ $25 9h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 62¢ $4 9h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 62¢ $1 9h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 62¢ $26 9h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 69¢ $17 10h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? BUY No 70¢ $18 10h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? BUY No 75¢ $4 10h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $45 16h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $12 16h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 SELL Over 94¢ $20 16h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 SELL Over 94¢ $3 16h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 94¢ $0 16h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 94¢ $23 16h
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? SELL No 97¢ $48 16h
Hwang Heechan: 1+ shots BUY Yes 84¢ $5 16h
Hwang Heechan: 1+ shots BUY Yes 83¢ $20 16h
Patrik Schick: 1+ shots BUY Yes 92¢ $12 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-1.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 +6.3% -3.8% 73% 69% -5.6%
≤30d 124 +16.5% +5.4% 66% 60% -12.4%
≤90d 260 +4.1% -5.8% 62% 54% -12.5%
all 271 +9.0% -1.4% 63% 56% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.4% 56% -9.8%
10% -10.9% 46% -18.5%
15% -19.5% 30% -26.3%
20% -27.4% 23% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $313.36 · official $313.37 (match) · 1081 history records