Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:08:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc171…ecad
crypto · 117 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$157 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$157 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$157
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses73 / 44
Open positions0
Markets (closed)117 / 117
History coverage5d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day79.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 117 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$147
7 days−$157
14 days−$157
30 days−$157
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $65 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $76 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $30 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $30 −$23 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $101 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $51 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $32 −$25 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $75 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $53 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $79 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $28 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $41 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$156
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $26 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $25 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-23.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 -15.6% -23.7% 62% 33% -14.6%
≤30d 117 -15.6% -23.7% 62% 33% -14.6%
≤90d 117 -15.6% -23.7% 62% 33% -14.6%
all 117 -15.6% -23.7% 62% 33% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover79.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.7% 33% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -31.0% 18% -22.8%
15% -37.6% 9% -30.3%
20% -43.8% 5% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 453 history records