Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:40:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C1 0xc173…618c crypto 1763 markets active 4d ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 6d only
✗ bot/MM pace (274 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$310 (+2%) realized +$310 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate97%1717W / 55L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day273.9pace
Kalshi-fit75%portable
Net worth$124now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 75% −$65
other 25% −$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (274 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 340 -3.4% -12.6% 95% 1% -12.1%
≤30d 1772 -1.0% -10.4% 97% 2% -10.3%
≤90d 1772 -1.0% -10.4% 97% 2% -10.3%
all 1772 -1.0% -10.4% 97% 2% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover273.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 2% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 0% -18.9%
15% -26.8% 0% -26.7%
20% -34.0% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$9 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$124
Realized+$310
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1717 / 55
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1772 / 1763
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$10
Trades / day273.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1772 Trades
no open positions (56 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $11 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $124.06 · official $122.77 · 3500 history records