Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:01:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc18f…c56e
crypto · 211 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$575 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$572 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$572
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses99 / 111
Open positions1
Markets (closed)210 / 211
History coverage92d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day5.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 1 History 210 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$32
14 days+$32
30 days+$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$9 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Apr 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Apr 24 $8 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Apr 24 $5 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Apr 24 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Apr 24 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Apr 24 $22 −$6 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Apr 24 $22 −$6 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Apr 24 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Apr 24 $27 −$1 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$121
other 8% −$252
economics 2% −$96
politics 1% −$50
culture 0% −$35
world 0% +$3
sports 0% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-21.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 +6.0% -4.1% 93% 59% -0.9%
≤30d 41 +6.0% -4.1% 93% 59% -0.9%
≤90d 206 -15.7% -23.7% 46% 34% -21.7%
all 210 -13.6% -21.8% 47% 35% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.8% 35% -16.8%
10% -29.3% 17% -24.8%
15% -36.2% 16% -32.0%
20% -42.4% 12% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.03 · official $2.37 · 686 history records