Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:41:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc192…086c
sports · 433 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$23,158 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23,111 · open −$47
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$353
Realized−$23,111
Unrealized−$47
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses153 / 279
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Est. fees paid−$40
Open positions1
Markets (closed)432 / 433
History coverage189d
Avg bet$497
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 432 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$983
7 days−$983
14 days−$983
30 days−$983
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 44¢ 38¢ $400 $353 −$47 (-12%)
Dota 2: Looking for Org vs BTC Gaming (BO3) BTC Gaming 21¢ 0¢ $425 $0 −$425 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In paiN 41¢ 0¢ $1,208 $0 −$1,208 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group D Galorys 40¢ 0¢ $328 $0 −$328 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B NRG 43¢ 0¢ $720 $0 −$720 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) Johnny Speeds 50¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SkinRave vs Phoenix (BO3) Phoenix 32¢ 0¢ $157 $0 −$157 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 33¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3) NAVI Junior 45¢ 0¢ $540 $0 −$540 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs 33 31¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stage Sangal 15¢ 0¢ $111 $0 −$111 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) HOTU 28¢ 0¢ $851 $0 −$851 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3) Washington 60¢ 0¢ $1,569 $0 −$1,569 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage PARIVISION 49¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Monte 38¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Passion UA 53¢ 0¢ $370 $0 −$370 (-100%)
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs 1win (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group A VP.Prodigy 20¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Nemiga (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage AM Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $357 $0 −$357 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier EYEBALLERS 8¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) Natus Vincere 39¢ 0¢ $957 $0 −$957 (-100%)
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Heroic 46¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Xtreme Gaming 26¢ 0¢ $260 $0 −$260 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Warriors Knicks 30¢ 0¢ $624 $0 −$624 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs BESTIA (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group C BESTIA 37¢ 0¢ $239 $0 −$239 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $290 +$421 +145%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $357 −$350 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $361 −$354 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $408 −$400 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $307 −$300 -98%
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm Mar 14 $92 −$92 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Alliance (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs Mar 14 $191 −$191 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playo Mar 14 $377 −$66 -18%
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Mar 14 $200 +$175 +88%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner Mar 14 $300 −$300 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14? Mar 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Pl Mar 14 $400 −$400 -100%
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Liquid (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playof Mar 14 $185 −$185 -100%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Nexus (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Gr Mar 14 $87 +$213 +245%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Mar 14 $196 +$167 +85%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs Mar 14 $140 +$122 +88%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Mar 14 $65 +$91 +140%
Counter-Strike: OG vs Nexus (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D Mar 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs Mar 13 $173 +$263 +152%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Mar 13 $150 +$5 +3%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO1) - Roman Imperium Mar 13 $50 +$372 +745%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Mar 13 $154 −$154 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner Mar 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs OlyBet SB (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group C Mar 13 $160 −$160 -100%
Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) Mar 13 $199 −$199 -100%
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group St Mar 13 $155 +$345 +224%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs BESTIA (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group C Mar 13 $239 −$239 -100%
76ers vs. Pistons Mar 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Voca (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B Mar 12 $140 −$140 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Mar 12 $240 +$226 +94%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs SAW (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B Mar 12 $72 −$72 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Mar 12 $250 −$250 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs JiJieHao (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A Mar 12 $31 +$37 +122%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Mar 12 $570 −$570 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Mar 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Mar 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Mar 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Mar 12 $150 −$150 -100%
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Asia Champions Mar 12 $78 −$78 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Mar 12 $650 +$533 +82%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Play Mar 11 $320 −$320 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner Mar 11 $450 −$450 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Mar 11 $300 +$469 +156%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner Mar 11 $274 −$274 -100%
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - Asia Championships C Mar 11 $135 −$135 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Mar 11 $282 +$318 +113%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Mar 10 $256 +$414 +162%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Mar 10 $500 −$500 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Mar 10 $200 +$262 +131%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Mar 10 $160 +$212 +132%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$22,524
other 12% −$635
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $711 16m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 40¢ $290 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 44¢ $407 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 33¢ $357 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 36¢ $361 20h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 36¢ $408 22h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 26¢ $307 23h
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm BUY Connecticut Huskies 29¢ $73 89d
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm BUY Connecticut Huskies 30¢ $19 89d
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Alliance (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs BUY 9INE 29¢ $91 89d
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Alliance (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs BUY 9INE 19¢ $100 89d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playo SELL Astralis 47¢ $311 89d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playo BUY Astralis 57¢ $377 89d
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 44¢ $300 89d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14? BUY Yes 23¢ $100 89d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Pl BUY FUT Esports 37¢ $400 89d
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 53¢ $200 90d
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Liquid (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playof BUY EYEBALLERS 37¢ $185 90d
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group BUY OG 54¢ $169 90d
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group BUY OG 54¢ $27 90d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs SELL Astralis 50¢ $88 90d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs BUY Astralis 40¢ $140 90d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Astralis 42¢ $65 90d
Counter-Strike: OG vs Nexus (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D BUY Nexus 27¢ $100 90d
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Nexus (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Gr BUY Nexus 29¢ $48 90d
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Nexus (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Gr BUY Nexus 29¢ $21 90d
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Nexus (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Gr BUY Nexus 29¢ $18 90d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs SELL FUT Esports 59¢ $179 90d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs SELL FUT Esports 85¢ $257 90d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 33¢ $155 90d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -50.9% -55.6% 20% 20% -62.0%
≤30d 5 -50.9% -55.6% 20% 20% -62.0%
≤90d 12 -57.1% -61.1% 17% 17% -62.3%
all 432 -8.5% -17.2% 35% 35% -19.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.2% 35% -19.4%
10% -25.1% 34% -27.1%
15% -32.4% 34% -34.2%
20% -39.0% 33% -40.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $352.54 · official $352.54 (match) · 1589 history records