trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +25.3% | +13.3% | 100% | 100% | +13.3% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +43.0% | +29.4% | 100% | 100% | +14.1% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +32.4% | +19.8% | 100% | 100% | +13.8% |
| all | 19 | -14.1% | -22.3% | 63% | 53% | -15.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.3% | 53% | -15.4% |
| 10% | -29.7% | 32% | -23.5% |
| 15% | -36.5% | 21% | -30.9% |
| 20% | -42.7% | 11% | -37.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $301 | $298 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $1,038 | +$262 | +25% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 18 | $25 | +$15 | +61% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Apr 17 | $20 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? | Dec 13 | $361 | −$345 | -96% |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1500.00 or higher on Dec | Nov 19 | $355 | +$35 | +10% |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Oct 28 | $549 | −$90 | -16% |
| Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the | Oct 27 | $102 | +$44 | +43% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | Oct 27 | $34 | +$3 | +8% |
| Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Oct 27 | $150 | +$36 | +24% |
| Will no CEO be announced in 2025? | Oct 15 | $99 | −$66 | -66% |
| Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3? | Sep 29 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31? | Sep 04 | $200 | +$74 | +37% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31? | Jul 18 | $279 | −$269 | -96% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? | Jul 11 | $150 | +$131 | +88% |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4? | Jul 05 | $384 | +$45 | +12% |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? | Jul 04 | $229 | +$40 | +17% |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | Jul 03 | $99 | +$16 | +16% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju | Jul 01 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| US military action against Iran before July? | Jun 23 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |