Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:16:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc195…c9c9
crypto · 1579 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$422 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$422 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$422
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses1173 / 406
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1579 / 1579
History coverage20d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day124.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 1579 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$451
7 days−$360
14 days−$279
30 days−$422
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 62¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 75¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 54¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 70¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 80¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 75¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 76¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 90¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 61¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 58¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 82¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 61¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 87¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 69¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 73¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 73¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 76¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 83¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 51¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 48¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 66¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 53¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 49¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 67¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$324
other 4% −$98
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 603 -7.4% -16.2% 83% 20% -19.6%
≤30d 1579 -0.9% -10.3% 74% 39% -12.5%
≤90d 1579 -0.9% -10.3% 74% 39% -12.5%
all 1579 -0.9% -10.3% 74% 39% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover124.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 39% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 32% -20.9%
15% -26.7% 20% -28.6%
20% -33.9% 3% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records