Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:25:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc1a6…7e22
sports · 68 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$27 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses25 / 42
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions1
Markets (closed)67 / 68
History coverage18d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days−$89
14 days−$32
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 56¢ 55¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner FlyQuest 16¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Aurora 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $12 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $10 +$5 +48%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $28 −$2 -6%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $5 +$20 +400%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $17 −$11 -67%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $9 +$9 +96%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $21 +$2 +10%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $8 +$5 +62%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$6 -62%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$9 +47%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $20 +$7 +32%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $15 −$12 -78%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $7 +$4 +59%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $7 −$2 -33%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? Jun 11 $23 −$13 -57%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 11 $10 −$6 -56%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 11 $10 −$6 -56%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $24 −$24 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Wester Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -78%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 11 $24 −$7 -31%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$24 +240%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 11 $28 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $18 +$71 +390%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $7 −$2 -32%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $23 +$3 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% +$78
other 8% −$26
crypto 7% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $8 2m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 56¢ $4 6m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 59¢ $5 52m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 67¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 52¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Monte 61¢ $16 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 82¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 86¢ $3 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 48¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 82¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $7 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 57¢ $5 13h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 20¢ $5 14h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 61¢ $10 18h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $6 21h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 22h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $18 24h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 45¢ $5 25h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 59¢ $4 25h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 89¢ $3 27h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $16 44h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 49¢ $8 45h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 32¢ $7 45h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 50¢ $5 45h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 64¢ $8 45h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $13 45h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 45¢ $10 46h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $10 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -29.2% -35.9% 26% 25% -23.8%
≤30d 67 -6.3% -15.2% 37% 31% -7.3%
≤90d 67 -6.3% -15.2% 37% 31% -7.3%
all 67 -6.3% -15.2% 37% 31% -7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.2% 31% -7.3%
10% -23.3% 27% -16.1%
15% -30.7% 25% -24.2%
20% -37.5% 22% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.60 · official $3.60 (match) · 193 history records