Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:05:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc1be…9c90
crypto · 71 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$32 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses52 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)71 / 71
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day28.1
Drawdown73%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 71 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$19
14 days+$19
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$8 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$3 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $6 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $6 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $6 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +68%
net ROI/market (all)-0.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 +9.6% -0.8% 73% 68% -5.0%
≤30d 71 +9.6% -0.8% 73% 68% -5.0%
≤90d 71 +9.6% -0.8% 73% 68% -5.0%
all 71 +9.6% -0.8% 73% 68% -5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.8% 68% -5.0%
10% ← realistic here -10.3% 62% -14.1%
15% -19.0% 42% -22.4%
20% -26.9% 24% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 153 history records