Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc1c6…c88e
crypto · 727 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$533 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$535 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$36
Realized−$535
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses403 / 323
Open positions1
Markets (closed)726 / 727
Avg bet$9
Trades / day114.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 726 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$57
7 days−$152
14 days−$405
30 days−$535
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 63¢ 62¢ $25 $25 −$1 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 35¢ 38¢ $10 $12 +$1 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$9 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $88 −$41 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $173 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $70 +$10 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $117 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $144 −$8 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $33 +$7 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$6 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$4 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Jun 10 $14 −$4 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 10 $12 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Jun 10 $12 −$2 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$533
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 574 -5.5% -14.5% 58% 15% -13.0%
≤30d 726 -4.2% -13.3% 56% 18% -16.7%
≤90d 726 -4.2% -13.3% 56% 18% -16.7%
all 726 -4.2% -13.3% 56% 18% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover114.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 18% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 14% -24.6%
15% -29.2% 8% -31.9%
20% -36.1% 6% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.14 · official $35.14 · 3500 history records