trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | Jun 12 | $10 | +$2 | +17% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | Jun 12 | $4 | $0 | +11% |
| Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | +$2 | +36% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | +$1 | +20% |
| Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song on | Jun 11 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | +48% |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | Mar 03 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Feb 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +5.5% | -4.6% | 86% | 71% | -2.0% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +5.5% | -4.6% | 86% | 71% | -2.0% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +5.5% | -4.6% | 86% | 71% | -2.0% |
| all | 9 | -18.0% | -25.8% | 67% | 56% | -13.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.8% | 56% | -13.7% |
| 10% | -32.9% | 22% | -22.0% |
| 15% | -39.4% | 22% | -29.5% |
| 20% | -45.3% | 0% | -36.4% |