Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T16:36:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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C1 0xc1cc…ced0 crypto 215 markets active 1h ago coverage 49d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$537 (+4%) realized +$537 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate50%107W / 108L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$67per market
Trades / day9.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$353
7 days+$42
14 days+$42
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% +$366
politics 6% −$355
world 1% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 186 -6.4% -15.3% 51% 50% -9.2%
≤30d 211 -3.7% -12.9% 49% 48% -9.5%
≤90d 215 -3.7% -12.9% 50% 48% -9.6%
all 215 -3.7% -12.9% 50% 48% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.9% 48% -9.6%
10% -21.2% 45% -18.3%
15% -28.9% 42% -26.2%
20% -35.8% 39% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +8% → late -15% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$37 vs −$36 · ×1.01 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

49d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$537
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses107 / 108
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)215 / 215
History coverage49d
Avg bet$67
Trades / day9.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 215 Trades
no open positions (13 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 19 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 19 $104 +$98 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 19 $43 +$31 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 19 $11 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 19 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 19 $80 −$77 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 19 $42 −$41 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 19 $19 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 19 $44 +$36 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 19 $22 −$21 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 19 $85 +$75 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 19 $44 −$42 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 19 $22 −$21 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 19 $42 +$38 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 19 $19 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 19 $9 +$11 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 19 $9 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$10 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 19 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 19 $37 +$43 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 18 $20 −$11 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 18 $8 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 18 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $9 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 18 $11 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 18 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 18 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 18 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 18 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 18 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 18 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 18 $88 −$88 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $202 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $104 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $51 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $73 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $80 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $85 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $44 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $37 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $18 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 603 history records