Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T07:08:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C1 0xc1cc…9f35 crypto 469 markets active 1h ago coverage 26d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$43 (+0%) realized +$43 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate85%399W / 70L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$81per market
Trades / day24.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$60
7 days+$83
14 days+$108
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 +1.2% -8.5% 96% 0% -8.5%
≤30d 469 -2.0% -11.3% 85% 1% -8.9%
≤90d 469 -2.0% -11.3% 85% 1% -8.9%
all 469 -2.0% -11.3% 85% 1% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover24.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 1% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 0% -17.6%
15% -27.5% 0% -25.6%
20% -34.6% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$12 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses399 / 70
Open positions0
Markets (closed)469 / 469
History coverage26d
Avg bet$81
Trades / day24.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 469 Trades
no open positions (15 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 23 $131 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 23 $136 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 23 $138 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 23 $140 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 23 $140 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 23 $138 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 23 $138 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 23 $140 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 23 $138 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 23 $140 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $140 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 23 $140 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 23 $140 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 22 $140 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 22 $140 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 22 $140 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 22 $140 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $140 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 22 $140 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 22 $140 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 22 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 22 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 22 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 22 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 22 $94 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 22 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 22 $99 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 22 $98 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 21 $99 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 21 $99 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 21 $99 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 20 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 20 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 20 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 20 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 19 $100 −$16 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $131 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $136 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $138 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $140 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $140 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $138 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $138 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $140 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $138 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $140 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $140 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $140 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $140 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $138 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $140 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $140 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $140 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $134 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $140 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $140 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $140 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $140 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $99 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $94 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $99 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1093 history records