trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner | MOUZ | 50¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 14 | $10 | −$3 | -25% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$2 | -26% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$7 | -45% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 13 | $5 | +$3 | +54% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) | Jun 13 | $5 | +$5 | +93% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) | Jun 13 | $3 | +$3 | +103% |
| Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo | Jun 13 | $3 | $0 | -10% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$8 | -77% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 33% | 33% | -21.8% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 33% | 33% | -21.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 33% | 33% | -21.8% |
| all | 9 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 33% | 33% | -21.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.4% | 33% | -21.8% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 33% | -29.2% |
| 15% | -26.0% | 33% | -36.1% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 33% | -42.3% |