Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T22:25:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C1 0xc1e8…0b87 crypto 1665 markets active 0h ago coverage 14d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 14d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (147 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$1,291 (+8%) realized +$1,291 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate68%1262W / 605L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day147.3pace
Kalshi-fit72%portable
Net worth$71now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 14d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 73% +$754
other 27% +$297
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (147 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1269 -12.6% -20.9% 62% 43% -20.1%
≤30d 1867 -5.1% -14.1% 68% 47% -15.1%
≤90d 1867 -5.1% -14.1% 68% 47% -15.1%
all 1867 -5.1% -14.1% 68% 47% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover147.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 47% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 32% -23.2%
15% -29.9% 20% -30.6%
20% -36.7% 13% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +12% → late -22% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$7 · ×0.36 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$71
Realized+$1,291
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses1262 / 605
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1867 / 1665
History coverage14d ⚠
Avg bet$10
Trades / day147.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1867 Trades
no open positions (493 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $13 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $8 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $9 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $7 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $7 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $8 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $6 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $9 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $12 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $70.59 · official $70.59 (match) · 3500 history records