Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:23:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc200…68a0
crypto · 545 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$150 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$148 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$148
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses426 / 125
Open positions1
Markets (closed)551 / 545
History coverage21d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day147.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 551 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$74
7 days−$74
14 days−$74
30 days−$148
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 74¢ 64¢ $22 $19 −$3 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 64¢ 36¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$40 -107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$17 -194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$12 -147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$20 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$21 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$8 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$8 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$8 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$10 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$8 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$7 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$8 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$9 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$12 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$6 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$9 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$32 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$10 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$5 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$11 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$12 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$66
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 -8.9% -17.6% 59% 55% -13.6%
≤30d 551 -4.4% -13.5% 77% 31% -10.5%
≤90d 551 -4.4% -13.5% 77% 31% -10.5%
all 551 -4.4% -13.5% 77% 31% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover147.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 31% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 13% -19.0%
15% -29.4% 6% -26.9%
20% -36.3% 2% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.12 · official $16.88 · 3500 history records