Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:03:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc203…8bee
sports · 779 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$553 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$553 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$2
Realized−$553
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses459 / 320
Est. fees paid−$120
Open positions0
Markets (closed)779 / 779
History coverage56d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day46.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 0 History 779 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$83
14 days−$135
30 days−$284
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies 80¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Minnesota Lynx 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev Martin Landaluce 66¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry Tomas Etcheverry 78¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 35¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Grigor Dimitrov Grigor Dimitrov 98¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina Coco Gauff 69¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Spurs 76¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Angels 61¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies 61¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals Kansas City Royals 65¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Miami Marlins 76¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Suns Suns 30¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 Under 65¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 72¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-7.5) Knicks 61¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Toronto Blue Jays 81¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky Chicago Sky 33¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies 64¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 94¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 37¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 77¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Under 78¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 76¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $18 +$7 +39%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $16 +$4 +22%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $19 +$9 +48%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $16 +$3 +20%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $3 +$2 +61%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $3 +$1 +38%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $8 −$6 -74%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $6 +$3 +48%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $7 +$2 +32%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $20 +$5 +27%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $10 +$4 +36%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $6 +$2 +28%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $8 +$2 +31%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $12 −$5 -46%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Katarina Zavatska vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $3 −$7 -197%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 12 $5 −$10 -198%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Jun 12 $8 −$16 -199%
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 12 $17 −$34 -199%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$6 -196%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $17 +$18 +107%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 10 $17 +$3 +20%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $14 +$3 +20%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $6 −$3 -63%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 10 $4 $0 -3%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky Jun 10 $7 −$7 -102%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $25 +$3 +13%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $12 +$2 +13%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $3 +$1 +24%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $5 −$2 -48%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 09 $6 −$6 -99%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $30 −$51 -170%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $8 +$3 +32%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $19 −$9 -50%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $14 +$1 +7%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $9 +$1 +7%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $13 −$6 -46%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 07 $3 −$2 -71%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 07 $5 −$3 -54%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $6 +$1 +11%
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty Jun 07 $10 +$9 +89%
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 06 $21 +$1 +3%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 06 $17 +$9 +53%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 06 $6 −$4 -77%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $3 −$3 -93%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 06 $25 +$2 +6%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 06 $15 +$5 +36%
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 06 $9 −$6 -72%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $13 +$7 +58%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 06 $3 +$1 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$605
other 11% +$48
world 1% +$2
crypto 1% +$1
tech 0% $0
finance 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL Chicago Cubs 99¢ $25 28m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 99¢ $15 42m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 90¢ $14 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL New York Mets 100¢ $29 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Houston Astros 99¢ $20 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins SELL Minnesota Twins 90¢ $5 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 71¢ $18 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 55¢ $3 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 99¢ $4 2h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Cincinnati Reds 17¢ $1 2h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Cincinnati Reds 17¢ $1 2h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 84¢ $5 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 100¢ $6 2h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 SELL Over 99¢ $9 2h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Baltimore Orioles 100¢ $4 3h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Baltimore Orioles 100¢ $5 3h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 46¢ $3 3h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Milwaukee Brewers 100¢ $26 3h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 99¢ $13 3h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL Cleveland Guardians 99¢ $8 3h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics SELL Washington Mystics 99¢ $10 3h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 71¢ $3 3h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 72¢ $10 4h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 67¢ $19 4h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Washington Mystics 75¢ $8 4h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 77¢ $6 4h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 82¢ $16 4h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 41¢ $6 4h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 78¢ $20 5h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 80¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 +3.2% -6.6% 58% 51% -13.1%
≤30d 228 -1.3% -10.7% 65% 56% -10.6%
≤90d 779 +0.7% -8.8% 59% 46% -12.1%
all 779 +0.7% -8.8% 59% 46% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 46% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 33% -20.5%
15% -25.5% 22% -28.2%
20% -32.8% 15% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.23 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records