Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T21:52:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C2 0xc209…b90c crypto 1328 markets active 2h ago coverage 8d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 7d only
✗ bot/MM pace (343 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$897 (-14%) realized −$897 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate53%671W / 594L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day342.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,391
7 days−$768
14 days−$672
30 days−$672
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$926
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (343 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1057 -7.1% -16.0% 52% 51% -19.6%
≤30d 1265 -5.0% -14.0% 53% 52% -16.5%
≤90d 1265 -5.0% -14.0% 53% 52% -16.5%
all 1265 -5.0% -14.0% 53% 52% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover342.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 52% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 49% -24.5%
15% -29.8% 46% -31.8%
20% -36.7% 40% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +18% → late -28% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.67 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$897
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses671 / 594
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1265 / 1328
History coverage8d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day342.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1265 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 21 $20 −$22 -111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 21 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 21 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 21 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 21 $0 −$1 -354%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 21 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 21 $0 −$1 -462%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 21 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 21 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 21 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 21 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 21 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 21 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 21 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 21 $0 −$3 -820%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 21 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 21 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$9 -190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 21 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 21 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 21 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records