Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:12:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc209…7924
sports · 1190 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,106 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,135 · open +$30
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$155
Realized−$2,135
Unrealized+$30
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses689 / 677
Est. fees paid−$176
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1366 / 1190
History coverage125d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day23.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 6 History 1366 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,283
7 days−$2,184
14 days−$2,221
30 days−$1,971
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 79¢ 94¢ $77 $92 +$15 (+19%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Spirit 78¢ 96¢ $13 $16 +$3 (+23%)
Will BetBoom qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Yes 21¢ 74¢ $4 $15 +$11 (+252%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 50¢ 48¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-5%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Will 9z qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Yes 25¢ 36¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+42%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A PARIVISION 42¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 1? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21? No 46¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Team Spirit 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Seahawks vs. 49ers 49ers 42¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Stage Decider Yellow Submarine 69¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) FURIA 77¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner Xtreme Gaming 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5 Under 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 41¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner PARIVISION 55¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5 Under 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-22? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A Jun 12 $15 −$15 -102%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 1? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Seahawks vs. 49ers Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-22? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Commanders vs. Vikings Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Cl Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Chiefs vs. Raiders Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: PSV (-2.5) Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Chelsea FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Team Falcons (BO1) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid (BO3) Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3) Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Jaguars vs. Colts Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
VfB Stuttgart vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Trump say the "N word" in November? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Nuggets vs. Mavericks Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FaZe (BO1) Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO1) Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Islanders vs. Predators Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Execration - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Spurs vs. Lakers Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% −$192
other 9% +$456
world 2% +$16
finance 1% +$35
crypto 0% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 73¢ $22 1m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 82¢ $41 4m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 78¢ $14 12m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $14 27m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 78¢ $13 36m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 66¢ $13 39m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 83¢ $41 42m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 69¢ $10 56m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 31¢ $11 56m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 56¢ $29 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 25¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 42¢ $9 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 76¢ $38 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 61¢ $31 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $100 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 76¢ $30 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 23¢ $18 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 30¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 56¢ $17 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $29 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 31¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $13 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 47¢ $29 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $20 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $60 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $11 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AN BUY 21¢ $6 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $11 6h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 71¢ $14 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-23.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 250 -76.3% -78.6% 14% 13% -62.3%
≤30d 420 -42.8% -48.3% 34% 30% -35.6%
≤90d 885 -23.7% -31.0% 46% 41% -21.6%
all 1366 -15.3% -23.4% 50% 45% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.4% 45% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -30.7% 40% -22.6%
15% -37.4% 33% -30.1%
20% -43.5% 25% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $154.67 · official $160.67 · 3500 history records